Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#315
Expected Predictive Rating-11.6#319
Pace64.1#311
Improvement-5.1#338

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#268
First Shot-5.3#310
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#60
Layup/Dunks-0.5#200
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#298
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement-2.5#290

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#328
First Shot-4.7#313
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#336
Layups/Dunks-4.4#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
Freethrows-1.9#293
Improvement-2.6#306
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 192   @ Tulane W 68-67 OT 15%     1 - 0 +2.0 -4.5 +6.5
  Nov 19, 2015 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 74-56 73%     2 - 0 +1.4 -7.4 +8.3
  Nov 24, 2015 293   @ Jacksonville St. W 73-69 33%     3 - 0 -1.8 +0.9 -2.6
  Nov 28, 2015 174   @ Murray St. L 61-63 12%     3 - 1 +0.2 -9.8 +9.9
  Dec 12, 2015 211   @ Saint Louis L 58-75 17%     3 - 2 -17.3 -14.6 -1.8
  Dec 16, 2015 181   @ Western Kentucky L 70-79 13%     3 - 3 -7.1 +1.0 -8.9
  Dec 22, 2015 78   @ Evansville L 70-91 4%     3 - 4 -11.1 -2.4 -6.9
  Dec 29, 2015 160   @ Ball St. L 62-63 11%     3 - 5 +2.1 +1.6 +0.4
  Jan 02, 2016 346   @ Grambling St. L 78-81 OT 58%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -15.3 +2.3 -17.6
  Jan 04, 2016 261   @ Jackson St. L 66-67 25%     3 - 7 0 - 2 -4.3 -2.0 -2.3
  Jan 09, 2016 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-70 76%     4 - 7 1 - 2 -2.8 +5.4 -8.6
  Jan 11, 2016 341   Mississippi Valley L 73-79 75%     4 - 8 1 - 3 -23.3 +0.4 -24.2
  Jan 16, 2016 295   @ Alabama St. W 80-75 OT 33%     5 - 8 2 - 3 -0.9 -3.4 +2.0
  Jan 23, 2016 313   @ Alcorn St. L 58-63 38%     5 - 9 2 - 4 -12.3 -13.3 +0.6
  Jan 25, 2016 242   @ Southern L 52-73 21%     5 - 10 2 - 5 -22.8 -19.9 -3.2
  Jan 30, 2016 335   Prairie View W 83-69 72%     6 - 10 3 - 5 -2.3 +5.4 -7.7
  Feb 01, 2016 186   Texas Southern L 66-71 28%     6 - 11 3 - 6 -9.4 -5.9 -3.9
  Feb 06, 2016 344   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71-66 56%     7 - 11 4 - 6 -7.0 +4.2 -10.7
  Feb 08, 2016 341   @ Mississippi Valley L 64-66 54%     7 - 12 4 - 7 -13.5 -6.8 -6.8
  Feb 13, 2016 295   Alabama St. L 68-74 56%     7 - 13 4 - 8 -17.8 -2.5 -15.9
  Feb 20, 2016 313   Alcorn St. L 58-62 61%     7 - 14 4 - 9 -17.1 -9.5 -8.4
  Feb 22, 2016 242   Southern W 78-66 40%     8 - 14 5 - 9 +4.3 +5.4 -0.6
  Feb 27, 2016 186   @ Texas Southern L 54-77 14%     8 - 15 5 - 10 -21.6 -17.8 -4.6
  Feb 29, 2016 335   @ Prairie View L 65-85 50%     8 - 16 5 - 11 -30.4 -13.1 -16.0
  Mar 03, 2016 346   Grambling St. L 58-65 77%     8 - 17 5 - 12 -25.2 -14.3 -11.6
  Mar 05, 2016 261   Jackson St. W 54-51 45%     9 - 17 6 - 12 -6.1 -8.9 +3.3
  Mar 08, 2016 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 61-53 67%     10 - 17 -6.9 -10.8 +4.5
  Mar 09, 2016 186   Texas Southern L 69-77 20%     10 - 18 -9.5 +1.9 -12.3
Projected Record 10.0 - 18.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%